中国大宗农产品进口非关税措施的效应分析——以大豆、棉花、植物油、谷物、食糖为例  

A Effect Analysis of Non-Tariff Measures on China's Bulk Agricultural Product Import: Taking Soybean,Cotton,Vegetable Oil,Corn and Sugar as Examples

作　　者：罗兴武[1] 谭晶荣[2] 杨兴武[3] 

机构地区：[1]浙江工商大学工商管理学院,杭州310018 [2]浙江工业大学经贸管理学院,杭州310023 [3]浙江工商大学杭州商学院,杭州310035

出　　处：《农业经济问题》2014年第3期62-67,111,共6页Issues in Agricultural Economy

基　　金：浙江省社科规划重点项目(编号:12JDQY02Z);浙江省软科学项目(编号:2012C35046);国家自然科学基金(编号:71173193)

摘　　要：随着贸易自由化的推进、农产品关税水平下降,农产品非关税措施备受关注,农产品非关税措施的效应分析有助于政府了解政策实施成本。本文运用联立方程模型和一般均衡模型,利用1995—2011年大豆、棉花、植物油、谷物、食糖的进口数据分析中国非关税措施的数量效应和价格效应。结果表明,棉花、植物油、谷物、食糖四类非关税措施保护作用较为明显,而大豆违反了预期;农业支持效应与非关税措施的效应相反。这揭示了现行农产品非关税措施因为农产品保护效果不同而存在调整空间,今后应结合农产品的不同特征调整相应的农产进口贸易政策。With the development of trade liberalization,agricultural tariffs level drops,the non-tariff measures( NTMs) of agricultural products have been paid much attention,and their effect analysis can help the government to know the cost of the policy implementation. Using simultaneous equation model and the general equilibrium model,based on 1995 ~ 2011 import data of soybean,cotton,vegetable oil,corn and sugar,this paper evaluates the influence of NTMs on these five imported bulk agriculture commodities. This paper result shows that the protection effects of cotton,vegetable oil,corn and sugar are obvious,the soybean different from the expectation. Meantime,the effect of domestic agriculture support is justly one the contrary to NTMs' effect. It reveals that the current agricultural non-tariff measures have some adjustment space because of different agricultural protection effect,correspondingly in the future,the agricultural products import trade policies should be adjusted combined with different their characteristics.

关 键 词：非关税措施 关税当量值 进口需求弹性 价格效应 贸易政策 

分 类 号：F745.0[经济管理—国际贸易] F323.7[经济管理—产业经济]