利用相似导弹信息的Bayes可靠性评估方法研究  

Bayes Method to Assessment the Reliability by using Similar Missile's Information

作　　者：宋贵宝[1] 张峰伟[1] 

机构地区：[1]海军航空工程学院飞行器工程系,烟台264001

出　　处：《舰船电子工程》2014年第3期124-126,共3页Ship Electronic Engineering

摘　　要：在新型导弹可靠性评估过程中,为了提高评估精度,需要利用大量旧型相似或同类导弹的相似信息。论文运用Bayes方法对新型导弹进行可靠性评估,对验前信息的可信度进行检查,并对新型导弹的继承因子进行推断,在此基础上综合历史后验和更新后验得到新型导弹的融合后验,最后评估新型导弹的可靠度。During the reliability analysis of new type of missile,in order to improve the precision,large number of similar information from the older similar missile is needed.In this paper,the Bayes method is used to analyze,and the credibility of former information is checked,and the inheritance factor of new type of missile is inferred.After that,the complex posterior by complex the history posterior and the innovation posterior are obtained,and then the reliability of new type of missile is evaluated.

关 键 词：可靠性评估 相似系统分析 验前信息 BAYES方法 继承因子 

分 类 号：TP391[自动化与计算机技术—计算机应用技术]