金融危机以来贸易保护主义对中国出口的影响  

Effects of Trade Protectionism on China's Export Since Financial Cirsis

作　　者：王小梅[1,2] 秦学志[1] 尚勤[1] 

机构地区：[1]大连理工大学工商管理学院 [2]山东大学(威海)商学院

出　　处：《数量经济技术经济研究》2014年第5期20-36,85,共18页Journal of Quantitative & Technological Economics

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(71171032;71101015);留学回国人员科研启动基金(第43批);山东省社会科学规划研究项目(13DJJJ25);山东大学(威海)商学院青年团队建设项目联合资助

摘　　要：本文对2008年金融危机以来中国遭受的贸易保护主义进行了统计描述,并结合中国HS4位数编码的出口数据,运用构建的动态差分引力模型实证检验了外国实施的贸易保护主义措施对中国出口的影响。研究表明:金融危机以来,中国出口受到了贸易保护主义的显著冲击。发达国家的贸易保护主义措施对中国出口的影响程度大于发展中国家。关税措施和政府采购等非关税壁垒是限制中国出口的主要形式,救助/国家援助和出口补贴对中国出口的间接冲击较为突出。贸易保护主义对中国的机械、金属、矿产品和加工食物行业中产品的出口阻碍尤其明显。The paper describes trade protectionism against China since the 2008 financial crisis. Based on this and HS 4-digit level trade data, using dynamic first differenced gravity equation, we test empirically the effect of trade protectionism on China＇s export. The results show that China has been hit by protectionist measures since the financial crisis, and the future threats of trade protectionism may continue to increase. The trade protectionism of developed countries distorted China＇s export to a greater extent than developing countries. Tariff, public procurement and other non-tariff barriers are the main forms of restricting China^s export, and bail out / state aid measure and export subsidy have outstanding indirect impact on China＇ s export. Protectionist measures in machinery, metals, minerals and processed food have the largest negative impact on China＇s export.

关 键 词：金融危机 贸易保护主义 中国出口 动态差分引力模型 

分 类 号：F741.2[经济管理—国际贸易]