我国西部地区农户保持退耕还林成果意愿影响因素分析  

Empirical Analysis on the Influencing Factors of Farmer Households' Willingness of Maintaining the Results of the Conversion of Cropland to Forestland Program in Western China

作　　者：聂博[1] 马宁[1] 朱厚强 贺立[1] 

机构地区：[1]北京林业大学经济管理学院,北京100083

出　　处：《林业经济》2014年第4期72-77,共6页Forestry Economics

基　　金：国家社科基金重大项目"我国西部林业生态建设政策评价与体系完善研究"(编号:11&ZD042);北京市大学生科学研究与创业行动计划项目"林农社会关系网络及信息传播模式的实证研究"(编号:S1310022024)

摘　　要：通过对我国西部地区云南、广西、宁夏、甘肃四省(区)进行实地调研,利用描述统计和Logistic模型相结合的方法,对533户农户的退耕还林成果保持意愿影响因素进行了实证分析。结果表明:户主年龄、家庭耕地面积、工程补偿标准满意程度、工程对生活质量影响程度、工程中村干部的作用对农户保持退耕还林成果意愿影响最为显著。并据此提出促进退耕还林工程可持续发展的相关政策建议。The Conversion of Cropland to Foresdand Program（CCFP） is one of the five forestry ecological pro- gram in western China which has great significance for ecological construction and economic sustainable develop- ment. In this paper, using the Logistic Regression Model combined with descriptive statistic, analyzes the willing- ness of maintaining program effect of 533 firmer households generated from the investigation held in Ynnnan, Guangxi, Ningxia and Ganst~ Province. The result shows that： farmers＇ age, land scale, satisfaction degree about the compensation standard, program＇ s influential degree to the life quality, the role of the village cadres are the most significant factors. Then this paper puts forward correlation suggestions to promote the sustainable develop- ment of the Conversion of Cropland to Forestland Program.

关 键 词：LOGISTIC 退耕还林工程 保持成果 影响因素 实证 

分 类 号：F326.27[经济管理—产业经济]