煤炭开发对伊金霍洛旗经济发展贡献的实证研究  

Empirical study on the contribution of coal production to the economic development in Yijinhuoluo Banner,Inner Mongolia

作　　者：赵丽霞[1] 杨咏梅 贺晓[3] 胡春元[3] 

机构地区：[1]内蒙古农业大学经济管理学院,呼和浩特010019 [2]伊金霍洛旗财政局,阿腾席热镇017200 [3]内蒙古农业大学生态环境学院,呼和浩特010019

出　　处：《干旱区资源与环境》2014年第5期13-18,共6页Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment

基　　金：国家科技支撑计划子课题(2012BAC10B03-4)资助

摘　　要：以1990-2012年统计数据为依据,使用stata的corr方法研究伊金霍洛旗GDP与煤炭开发的关系。结果表明:煤炭开发对伊金霍洛旗的经济发展贡献巨大;定量分析表明,两者关联度逐年增长;2012年达到0.9872,GDP煤炭的消费弹性和生产弹性分别为-13.38-2.02479,-9.19703-1.26132;煤炭消费量是导致GDP快速上涨的关键因素。采用主成分分析方法,由社会经济指标、城乡人口构成指标等构建多维组合矩阵,通过主成分估计得出,第一主成分中原煤产量的相关系数最高为0.9967,依据主成分载荷分析,即为Y ij与B J的相关系数,分析出未来该地区在发展中需要调配产业结构,提升原煤利用率。据此,为实现该地区中长期的经济效益、社会效益、生态效益平衡发展提供科学的依据。This research studies on the correlation between GDP and coal production in Yijinhuoluo in 1990-2012 using Corr method of Stata. Results show that correlation between GDP and coal production in Yijinhuoluo increased year by year and reached 0. 9872 in 2012. Coal consumption flexibility and production flexibility of unit GDP were-13. 38-2. 02479,-9. 19703-1. 26132 respectively. It shows that coal consumption is the key factors contributing to GDP increasing. At the same time GDP increase will stimulate the development of the coal industry. While using the principal components analysis and the indicators such as socio-economic,urban and rural population,we constituted a multidimensional combination matrix. Through principal components estimating it draws that in the first principal components the correlation coefficient of raw coal production was the highest of0. 9967,that means the economic development of Yijinhuoluo was primarily from coal. According to principal component load analysis result,it indicates that the area need to adjust the industrial structure and accelerate the utilization ratio of raw coal in the development in the future.

关 键 词：县域经济 GDP 煤炭 实证分析 伊金霍洛旗 

分 类 号：F062.1[经济管理—政治经济学]