农村金融对我国农业产出影响的实证研究  

The Empirical Study of Effects of Rural Financial on China's Agricultural Output

作　　者：刘薇[1] 赵艳君[1] 

机构地区：[1]陕西省科学技术信息研究所,陕西西安710054

出　　处：《安徽农业科学》2014年第12期3733-3735,3738,共4页Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences

摘　　要：选取我国1990～2012年的时间序列数据,运用误差修正模型和协整分析的方法分别探究了农村金融对我国农业产出的短期与长期影响.结果表明,从长期来看,农村金融发展水平、农村金融发展效率与我国农业产出之间存在长期稳定的均衡关系.从短期来看,我国农村金融发展水平对我国农业产出的增长有一定的促进作用,但促进作用较小.整体而言,我国农村金融发展水平对我国农业产出的带动作用较弱.Selecting the time series data of China＇during 1990 - 2012, using error correction model and the method of co-integration analysis, short-term and long-term effect of rural financial on China＇s agricultural output were explored. Research results indicated that, in the long run, the rural financial development level, the rural financial development efficiency has the long-term stable equilibrium relationship with China＇s agricultural outputs. In the short term, China＇s rural financial development level has a certain role in promoting agricultural output. Overall, China＇s rural financial development level plays a small role in promoting agricultural output.

关 键 词：农村金融 农业产出 误差修正模型 协整分析 

分 类 号：S-9[农业科学] F30[经济管理—产业经济]