美国对华反倾销的产业涟漪效应--基于135部门的投入产出分解  

The Ripple Effect of US Anti-dumping Measures on China's Industry:A Study Based on the Input-output Analysis

作　　者：谢建国[1] 杨婷婷[2] 

机构地区：[1]南京大学商学院,210093 [2]南京大学国际经济贸易系,210093

出　　处：《经济评论》2014年第3期87-99,共13页Economic Review

摘　　要：本文使用1994-2009年美国对华贸易反倾销案例数据,研究了反倾销对中国相关产品上下游产业的影响。研究结果显示,反倾销给我国产业带来了显著的出口抑制效应,这种出口损害通过产业关联对上下游产业产生了显著的涟漪效应,其中,对上下游产业影响最大的是钢压延加工业与通用设备制造业的反倾销。本文同时测算了各个国内产业遭遇反倾销损害大小,结果显示,由于反倾销涟漪效应,国内受反倾销损害最大的行业是金属制品业、有色金属冶炼及合金制造业。由分析结果可以看出,我国传统的出口优势产业以及国内资本与劳动密集型产业仍然是反倾销损害最大的产业。This paper investigates the impact of U. S. anti - dumping measures on China＇ s related upstream and downstream industries over the period of 1994 - 2009. The results show that the anti - dumping measures against China have caused a significant trade depression effect, especially during the first year. Analysis of the results shows that targeted products have had significant ripple effects on the products of upstream and downstream industries, among which the industries of steel rolling and processing and general equipment manufacturing have had the greatest impact on individual domestic industries and the industries of metal products manufacturing, and both the non -ferrous metal smelting and alloy manufacturing industries have suffered the greatest decrease. China＇ s traditional export industries, domestic capital and labor intensive industries have suffered the greatest loss. Therefore, great importance should be placed on domestic sectors.

关 键 词：反倾销 反事实估计 投入产出分析 

分 类 号：F752.02[经济管理—国际贸易] F171.2[经济管理—产业经济]