流域水文气象耦合的洪水预报研究及应用进展  

Research and Application Progress on Basin HydroMeteorology Coupling Flood Forecasting

作　　者：彭涛[1] 沈铁元[1] 高玉芳[2] 胡跃文 

机构地区：[1]中国气象局武汉暴雨研究所暴雨监测预警湖北省重点实验室,武汉430074 [2]江苏省农业气象重点实验室/应用气象学院,南京信息工程大学,南京210044 [3]贵州省气象服务中心,贵阳550002

出　　处：《气象科技进展》2014年第2期52-58,共7页Advances in Meteorological Science and Technology

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(41205086;41105077);公益性行业(气象)科研专项(GYHY201306056;GYHY201306059);江苏省自然科学基金面上项目(BK2012859)

摘　　要：洪水预报在防洪减灾中具有重要的理论意义和现实意义。论文从流域暴雨的定量降水估算与预报、流域洪水预报水文模型、流域水文气象耦合、流域洪水实时预报系统研发及业务应用等方面回顾了国内外流域水文气象耦合的洪水预报研究与实践的进展,并从洪水预报与气象预报的集成耦合、有物理基础的分布式水文模拟、洪水风险灾害评价等展望了流域洪水灾害预报的一些关键技术和问题。Flood forecasting has an important theoretical and practical significance in flood control and disaster mitigation. Research and application progress on Basin hydro-meteorology coupling lfood forecasting both at home and abroad is reviewed from the radar and numerical model of quantitative precipitation estimation and forecast technology, hydrological model for basin lfood forecasting, hydrology-meteorological coupling technology, and real-time lfood forecasting system. Finally, some key technologies and problems of lfood disaster prediction from the integration and coupling for lfood forecast and weather forecast, physically based distributed hydrological model and lfood disaster evaluation are proposed.

关 键 词：暴雨洪水 洪水预报 水文气象耦合 

分 类 号：P338[天文地球—水文科学]