行业异质性与反倾销行为——基于中国、印度、美国的分行业实证分析  

Industrial Heterogeneity and Anti-dumping Actions:Evidences from China,India and USA

作　　者：叶建亮[1,2] 刘则[3] 

机构地区：[1]浙江大学经济学院,浙江杭州310027 [2]浙江大学民营经济研究中心,浙江杭州310027 [3]清华大学经济管理学院,北京100084

出　　处：《浙江大学学报（人文社会科学版）》2014年第3期44-57,共14页Journal of Zhejiang University:Humanities and Social Sciences

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(13CJY105);教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目(11JJD790048);"之江青年社科学者行动计划"资助项目(11ZJQN039YB)

摘　　要：基于宏观经济因素分析的现有理论不能解释一国的反倾销行为(反倾销申诉和裁决)在不同行业间分布的显著差异。行业贸易竞争力、行业生产效率、市场结构以及行业的政治关联性等行业异质性特征,对不同行业的反倾销行为影响显著。行业进口渗透率会正向影响行业反倾销申诉和裁决,而行业的出口量仅对反倾销裁决产生负向影响。行业生产效率对反倾销申诉带来负向影响,但与反倾销申诉裁决的通过率呈倒U形关系。行业企业数量则与反倾销诉讼的申请频率呈U形关系,但正向影响裁决的通过率。行业的政治关联性则仅对反倾销裁决起显著正向影响。Why are anti-dumping measures frequently used in some industries, but rarely used in others？ The existing researches have not yet invested sufficient efforts in analyzing and interpreting the significant differences across industries in a country＇s anti-dumping actions. Based on the antidumping and industry-specific data of China, India and USA from 1997 to 2011, we set up empirical models to investigate how antidumping appeals and adjudications are affected by the heterogeneous properties of different industries. We constructed variables, including the trading corfipetitiveness of industries, their productivity, market structure and political influence, to capture the heterogeneities, and adopted the panel regression methods of Poisson distribution and classified assessment. The empirical results indicatethat ~ （1） The higher import penetration, the larger impact of imports on the industry concerned, which corresponds to an increase in the number of anti-dumping lawsuits and the passing rate of anti-dumping measures in adjudications. However, the higher export volume of trade, the lower passing rate in anti-dumping adjudications, that is, in anti-dumping ruling the administrative authority will take the issue of trade retaliation into account. （2） The higher productivity of the industry, the smaller impact of its imports, thus the lower number of anti-dumping lawsuits. However, the passing rate of anti-dumping adjudications indicates an inversed-U shaped relationship with industrial productivity. In other words, to protect the industries the anti dumping ruling of the administrative authority must be weighed against the efficiency loss. When the efficiency of a particular industry is low, the administrative authority will reduce the willingness to protect; on the contrary, higher industrial productivity results in less necessity of anti dumping protection. （3） The number of anti-dumping lawsuits has a U-shaped relationship with the degree of market monopoly. It turns out that the industry with

关 键 词：反倾销 行业异质性 国际贸易 贸易保护 

分 类 号：F752.023[经济管理—国际贸易]