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作 者:徐鸣
机构地区:[1]ABR
出 处:《经营者》2014年第8期168-176,13,共9页Auto Business Review
摘 要:这或许才是立马可见的新能源汽车.2009年到2012年,在环境保护、经济效率和政府政策的驱动下,中国天然气汽车复合增长率创纪录高达50%.尽管由于天然气价格上涨导致经济效率下降,天然气汽车产业仍保持增长态势.预计未来丽年,天然气汽车复合增长率将为32%.With increasing environmental pressure, we believe natural gas is an effective way to replace traditional vehicle fuels and reduce air pollution from emissions. At present, electricity and natural gas are the major vehicle fuel alternatives to oil. That said, we believe electric vehicles face three obstacles that will be hard to overcome in the short term: 1) underdeveloped charging infrastructure; 2) overly high prices and a low penetration rate; and 3) electric vehicles are not the ‘final solution’ for the pollution problem as the electricity they use are mostly generated by burning coal, which accounts for 70% of China’s primary energy sources.China has also introduced many incentive polices encouraging the use of natural gas vehicles. The 12 Five-Year Plan for Natural Gas released in October 2012 outlined the targets of maintaining rapid and longterm growth of the natural gas industry and guaranteeing the supply of natural gas for vehicle usage.At present, China’s CNG vehicles mainly come from the after-sales refitting market, and the OEM market is not fully operating yet. However, with the gradual relaxation of policies on private natural gas cars, along with encouragement to use natural gas as a fuel for vehicles, we believe it is only a matter of time before CNG vehicle manufacturing shifts from the aftermarket to the OEM market.th
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