农产品商品率绩效风险与财政金融服务控制  

The Performance Risk of Agricultural Products' Commodity Rate and the Control of Fiscal and Financial Service

作　　者：陈司谨[1] 冉光和[1] 邱新国[1] 

机构地区：[1]重庆大学经济与工商管理学院,重庆400030

出　　处：《预测》2014年第3期63-68,共6页Forecasting

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大资助项目(11&ZD141)

摘　　要：本文以财政金融服务控制农产品商品率绩效风险理论为基础,建立财政金融服务与农产品商品率绩效关系模型,进行实证研究,结果显示:财政支农支出和农业贷款对农产品商品率提高有正向促进作用,农业保险对农产品商品率提高有负向影响,并且随着时间的推移,财政支农支出的正向作用、农业保险的负向影响逐渐减弱,农业贷款与农产品商品率形成更为紧密的相互作用关系。在此基础上,提出简要的财政金融服务政策建议。The author conducts empirical research based on the theory of the performance risk of agricultural products＇ commodity rate which is controlled by the fiscal and financial service, to establish the model of the performance relation ship between the fiscal and financial service and the agricultural products＇ commodity rate. The result shows that the financial expenditure for agriculture and the agricultural loans have a positive promote effect on the agricultural products ＇ commodity rate, while the agricultural insurance has a negative effect. As time goes on, the positive effect of the finan cial expenditure for agriculture and the negative effect of the agricultural insurance gradually weaken. On the other hand, the agricultural loans and the agricultural products＇ commodity rate form a closer interaction relationship. On the basis of this research, brief policy suggestions have been put forward.

关 键 词：传统农业改造 农产品商品率绩效风险 财政金融服务 

分 类 号：F812.8[经济管理—财政学]