基于ISM的核电站公众接受性模糊层次综合评价  

A Fuzzy AHP Comprehensive Evaluation of Public Acceptance to Nuclear Power Plant Based on ISM

作　　者：姜金贵[1,2] 刘显铭[1] 

机构地区：[1]哈尔滨工程大学经济管理学院,黑龙江哈尔滨150001 [2]哈尔滨工程大学灾难与危机管理研究所,黑龙江哈尔滨150001

出　　处：《工业工程》2014年第2期136-142,共7页Industrial Engineering Journal

基　　金：黑龙江省教育厅人文社会科学资助项目(11544059);教育部人文社会科学青年基金资助项目(13YJCZH062);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资助项目(HEUCF140902)

摘　　要：在借鉴已有研究的基础上,归纳了核电站公众接受性影响因素,运用解释结构模型法(ISM)从中识别核电站公众接受性的主要影响因素,据此构建涵盖主要影响因素的核电站公众接受性评价指标体系。以广东大亚湾核电站为例,运用模糊层次综合评价法对其公众接受性进行综合评价,得出大亚湾核电站的整体公众接受性处于一般水平,在认知因素、情感因素、意图因素、信任因素、参与可控制性等方面存在着不足。据此,大亚湾核电站需要在核电站知识普及、建立联动新闻发布机制、强化监督管理、加强与民众沟通、提高民众参与性等方面制定提升公众接受性措施。On the basis of existing researches, the influence factors of public acceptance to nuclear power plant are summarized. By applying the method of interpretative structural modeling （ISM） , the main influ- ence factors of public acceptance to nuclear power plant are identified such that an evaluation index system is constructed. With Daya Bay nuclear power plant in Guangdong as an example, its public acceptance is evaluated by applying the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process （AHP） comprehensive evaluation method. It is concluded that the public acceptance to Daya Bay nuclear power plant is at the average level. There are some deficiencies in cognition, emotion, intention, trust, and participation in the controllability. As a so- lution, the Daya Bay nuclear power plant should take measures to improve the level of public acceptance. These measures include popularizing nuclear power plant knowledge, establishing the linkage news release mechanism, strengthening supervision and management, intensifying communication with the public, im- proving public participation, and so on.

关 键 词：核电站 解释结构模型 模糊综合评价法 层次分析法 

分 类 号：C931.1[经济管理—管理学]