东盟国家的战略两难与中国之对策  

Strategic Dilemma Facing the ASEAN Countries and China's Solution

作　　者：胡必亮[1] 葛成[2] 

机构地区：[1]北京师范大学新兴市场研究院 [2]中国社会科学院亚太与全球战略研究院

出　　处：《学术前沿》2014年第7期48-57,79,共11页Frontiers

摘　　要：伴随着美国"重返亚太"战略的实施,日本和菲律宾与美国密切配合,越南在南海问题上态度强硬,缅甸成为西方国家的拉拢对象,印度乘机推进其"向东"政策,欧盟和俄罗斯也开始将战略重心向亚太地区转移。美国和欧盟更是加快了推进TPP和TTIP谈判步伐。中日韩自贸区谈判、中韩自贸区谈判、东盟主导的"10+3"和"10+6"自贸区谈判乃至"10+1"自贸协定现在看来都有可能出现不确定性。中国与东盟经济关系总体良好,但投资形势却不容乐观,尤其是民营中小企业受融资规模和缺乏政策引导等因素限制,发展相对迟缓。中国此时应更好地发挥政府作用,采取一系列有效的财政政策引导民间资本充分融入中国—东盟经济整合进程之中,为对冲与化解目前东盟可能出现的变局发挥积极作用。Along with the United States ＂Pivot to Asia＂ strategs; Japan, Philippines, as well as Vietnam cooperate more and more closely with the US on the South China Sea issue. Myanmar, in the same time, became a drawing object of the Western world. India took this opportunity to promote their ＂Look East＂ policy Also, the EU and Russia began to shift its strategic focus to the Asia-Pacific region. Both TPP and TTIP negotiations have been accelerated. In this context, other regional integration processes, including CJK-FTA, China,South Korea FTA, ASEAN＋3 and ASEAN＋6 negotiations, are facing much more uncertainty now. Meanwhile, China-ASEAN economic cooperation is generally favorable, especially in bilateral trade and China＇s large state-owned enterprises＇ investment in ASEAN. We recommend that China should play a greater role in governance, adopting a series of effective fiscal policies to guide private capital to fully integrate into the China-ASEAN economic integration process.

关 键 词：中国-东盟关系 财政政策 民营中小企业 

分 类 号：F752.7[经济管理—国际贸易]