基于WebGIS的公共卫生预警预测系统设计与实现  

DESIGN AND IMPLEMENTATION OF FORECASTING AND EARLY-WARNING SYSTEM IN PUBLIC HEALTH BASED ON WebGIS

作　　者：秦永平 汪群山[1] 王晓芳[1] 

机构地区：[1]陆军军官学院计算机教研室,安徽合肥230031

出　　处：《计算机应用与软件》2014年第4期94-97,共4页Computer Applications and Software

摘　　要：研究WebGIS的基本功能和特点,分析当前公共卫生事件的现状,开发基于WebGIS的突发性公共卫生事件预警预测系统。实现了实时监控、统计查询和趋势预测模块,将突发性公共卫生事件信息实时显示在地图当中,以便于指挥中心及时做出相应的决策。采用灰色马尔可夫模型作为趋势预测模型,提高了预测准确度。In the paper we study the basic functions and characteristics of WebGIS,and analyse the status quo of current public health accidents. We also develop an early-warning and forecasting system for sudden public health accidents based on WebGIS. This system realises the modules of real-time monitoring,statistical query and trend prediction. By this system,the information of sudden public health accidents can be displayed timely on the map,so as to facilitate the commanding centre to make corresponding decisions in time. The grey Markov model is used as a trend prediction model,this improves the prediction accuracy.

关 键 词：公共卫生 预警预测 WEBGIS 灰色马尔可夫模型 MAPXTREME 

分 类 号：TP3[自动化与计算机技术—计算机科学与技术]