我国海水养殖功能区的保有量和预测研究  

Research on the quantity forecast of the mariculture function area of China

作　　者：张宇龙[1,2] 李亚宁[1,3] 胡恒[4] 谭论[1,5] 

机构地区：[1]国家海洋信息中心,天津300171 [2]天津大学环境科学与工程学院,天津300072 [3]天津大学管理与经济学部,天津300072 [4]中国海洋大学环境科学与工程学院,山东青岛266100 [5]中国人民大学法学院,北京100872

出　　处：《海洋环境科学》2014年第3期493-496,共4页Marine Environmental Science

基　　金：全国海洋功能区划(2011~2020)专题研究

摘　　要：海洋渔业是我国传统的海洋产业,在我国的海洋经济和国民经济中占有重要地位,其发展拓宽了传统农业的范围。然而随着国家重大发展战略的实施,各类项目用海需求迅猛增长,大量的海域、滩涂被填被占,传统的养殖区域受到挤压,渔民"失海"现象日益突出。本文以掌握的我国海水养殖区及养殖用海现状资料为基础,以不同的数学模型为分析方法,开展至2020年我国海水养殖供需预测,并根据预测结果确定海水养殖功能区面积保有量指标,为科学规划海水养殖功能区、确定2020年海水养殖等基本渔业用海目标提供依据。Marine fishery is the traditional marine industry in China,it plays an important role in our country＇s marine economy and the national economy. Its development has broadened the scope of traditional agriculture. However,with the implementation of national development strategies,the development of marine economy,as well as the sea of a variety of projects with rapid growth in demand,a large number of sea areas and tidal flats occupied by filling,cultured sea development has constantly been squeezed,fishermen＂lost sea＂have become increasingly prominent. Based on mastery of seawater culture zones in our country and the cultivation status data as the foundation,with the sea in different mathematical model for the analysis method,to forecast of supply and demand of mariculture in China in 2020, and determine the mariculture areas according to the results of the prediction area＇s index,mariculture area for scientific planning,determine the basic fishery sea targets such as mariculture in 2020 provides the basis.

关 键 词：海水养殖 海洋功能区划 养殖用海 保有量 预测 

分 类 号：X321[环境科学与工程—环境工程]