黄河水沙数学模型评价体系研究  

Research on the Evaluation System of Yellow River Water and Sediment Mathematical Model

作　　者：赵何晶 寇怀忠[3] 夏润亮[2] 

机构地区：[1]河海大学公共管理学院,江苏南京210098 [2]黄河水利科学研究院,河南郑州450003 [3]黄河水利委员会总工办,河南郑州450003

出　　处：《人民黄河》2014年第5期12-14,18,共4页Yellow River

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(51309113);黄河水利委员会信息系统运维项目(201102)

摘　　要：结合理论研究和水文测验成果,构建了水沙数学模型多目标可量化评价体系,甄选了经典实验室数据和多沙河流实测原型资料,集成了模型测试案例题库;基于建模原理和水文观测数据,遴选了模型评估的单项指标;借助层次分析法和结构方程模型法研究了单项指标的无量纲方法、单项赋权及合成模型。建立水沙数学模型评价体系,可以实现水沙数值模拟量化评价,改变我国目前数学模型评价以主观评审为主导的现状,促进水利行业数值模拟的标准化、规范化发展。The measurable index with multi-objective evaluation of water and sediment mathematical model was established based on the combina-tion of theory and hydrometric results in this study. The classic experiment data and sandy river measured raw data were selected to constitute a model test cases base. Single indexes of the evaluation system were studied based on modeling principles and hydrological Data. With analytic hier-archy process and structural equation modeling,the dimensionless method of individual indicators,individual empowerment and synthetic model were studied. The establishment of the evaluation system of water and sediment mathematical model made a change that the quantitative evaluation took place of subjective evaluation. Thus,the development of numerical simulation standardization of water conservancy industry will be promoted.

关 键 词：多目标评价 层次分析法 结构方程法 评价体系 数学模型 水沙模型 黄河 

分 类 号：TV149[水利工程—水力学及河流动力学] TV882.1