综采工作面冒落高度模糊综合预测模型研究  

Research on the fuzzy comprehensive predicting model for caved zone height of fully mechanized working face

作　　者：张军[1,2] 王建鹏[3,4] 杨文光[5] 

机构地区：[1]华北科技学院科技管理处,河北三河065201 [2]中国矿业大学(北京)资源与安全工程学院,北京100083 [3]中国矿业大学(北京)力学与建筑工程学院,北京100083 [4]山西焦煤集团杜儿坪矿,山西太原030026 [5]华北科技学院基础部,河北三河065201

出　　处：《中国矿业大学学报》2014年第3期426-431,共6页Journal of China University of Mining & Technology

基　　金：河北省自然科学基金项目(E2012508002);国家自然科学基金项目(51044009);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目(3142013100)

摘　　要：为了探索煤矿井下受诸多因素影响的顶板冒落高度的数学解决方法,基于对影响综采工作面上覆岩层冒落高度8个因素作用机理的分析,采用层次分析法对各因素权重进行评定,借助模糊数学综合评价方法,建立了一种新的综采工作面上覆岩层冒落高度决策预测模型.利用该模型分别对镇城底矿、王庄煤矿、杜儿坪矿综采工作面上覆岩层冒落高度进行了预测计算,结果为16.680,18.279,16.680m,计算结果与现场实测结果相比相对误差分别为2.21%,5.53%,9.74%,表明该预测模型具有较高的精度,为综采工作面冒落高度的确定提供了新的方法.In order to find the mathematical solution for the decision of caved zone height which was a uncertain problem affected by many factors, based on the analysis of eight factors influencing overlying strata caved zone height, the weight of each factor was evaluated by the analytic hierarchy method. A predicting model for caved zone height of fully mechanized working face was proposed using a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method. The caved zone heights of Zhenchengdi, Wangzhuang and Duerping coal mines were obtained using the model with 16. 680, 18. 279 and 16. 680 m, respectively. The relative errors between calculated results and in-situ results are 2.21%, 5.53%, 9.74%, respectively, which indicate that the model is of better predicting precision, and provides a new method for the caved zone height of fully mechanized working face.

关 键 词：综采工作面 冒落高度 模糊综合决策 预测模型 

分 类 号：TD324[矿业工程—矿井建设]