基于DFS-SVM和PROMETHEE Ⅱ方法的基础设施项目投资绩效评价——以亚行贷款宁夏道路项目为例  

Performance Evaluation of Ningxia Road Project Funded by Asian Development Bank Based on DFS-SVM and PROMETHEE Ⅱ Method

作　　者：储成龙[1] 谢娜[2] 王蕾[3] 田小叶 

机构地区：[1]清华大学土木水利学院 [2]中央财经大学管理科学与工程学院 [3]中央财经大学统计与数学学院 [4]中央财经大学中国经济管理研究院

出　　处：《审计研究》2014年第3期91-99,共9页Auditing Research

基　　金：国家自然科学基金青年基金项目(项目批准号:71303269)资助

摘　　要：本文提出DFS-SVM和PROMETHEEⅡ项目绩效评价指标评分和权重内生化测算方法,利用亚洲开发银行提供的宁夏道路项目建设资料数据,从促进经济发展、优化交通条件、利用土地资源、提升公共服务四个方面选择24个绩效评价指标,对亚洲开发银行贷款援建的宁夏"同心—固原"、"固原—什字"和"什字—沿川子"三段道路项目进行绩效评价。研究结果表明宁夏"固原—什字"段道路项目投资建设绩效最优,"什字—沿川子"段道路建设项目的经济效益和社会效益较差,建议加强"什字—沿川子"段区域的道路路网规划,加大路网建设投入,有效改善市场通达性。本文验证了DFS-SVM和PROMETHEEⅡ投资项目绩效评价指标评分和权重内生化测算方法的适用性,可为复杂项目群多目标人机交互绩效评价提供参考。Project performance audit is an evaluation of the effectiveness of infrastructure investment project. Based on construction data of Ningxia road project provided by the Asian Development Bank （ADB）, this paper chooses 24 assessment indicators from four categories--increasing local population and income, improving transport security and ranges, exploiting resources, ameliorating education and healthcare, and carries out road performance audit on the three parts, namely Tongxin-Guyuan road, Guyuan-Shizi road and Shizi-Yanchuanzi road, of the Ningxia road project funded by ADB. An endogenous quantification method of project assessment featured in DFS-SVM and PROMETHEEⅡ is used to evaluate the performance of Ningxia Road Project. Results indicate that the perform- ance of Guyuan-Shizi road fares best while Shizi-Yanchuanzi road is found to be the less effective, followed by a suggestion of reassessing the road network development plan in the area of Shizi-Yanchuanzi road. Testifying the a- daptability of the endogenous quantification method of project assessment featured in DFS-SVM and PROMETHEE Ⅱ , this paper presents a reference for human-machine interactional project assessment of project-complex in multi- indicator cases.

关 键 词：基础设施 投资绩效 内生化测算 

分 类 号：F282[经济管理—国民经济]