基于模糊层次分析的陶瓷艺术品价格预测模型研究  

Price Forecasting Model for Ceramic Artworks based on Fuzzy AHP

作　　者：詹棠森[1] 吴倩[1] 何芳生 夏再德 查娟娟[1] 刘草草 

机构地区：[1]景德镇陶瓷学院信息工程学院,江西景德镇333403

出　　处：《中国陶瓷工业》2014年第2期25-29,共5页China Ceramic Industry

基　　金：2013教育部人文社科基金项目(编号:13YJA760064);2013景德镇市科研项目;2013全国大学生创新性实验项目

摘　　要：许多陶瓷艺术品在近十几年时间,价格实现了十几倍,甚至是几十倍的高速增长。本文从影响陶瓷艺术品价格的七种因素,包括年代、欣赏性、珍稀度、美观性、知名度、尺寸、造型复杂度)进行分析,通过层次分析法及模糊权重,定义陶瓷艺术品价格指数。通过检验,所得到的陶瓷艺术品价格指数模型误差比较小。这说明表2所给定的陶瓷艺术品价格评价指标符合定价标准,也为其他陶瓷艺术品价值提供有益参考。In recent ten years, prices of many ceramic artworks have risen by ten times or even dozens of times. This paper analyses the seven factors influencing the prices of ceramic works, namely time, taste, artistry, aesthetics, popularity, size, and shape. On the basis of the analysis, ceramic artwork price assessment indicators are determined through AHP and fuzzy weight. The test on verified examples shows that the predicted error of the price forecasting model for ceramic artworks is small. The assessment indicator system for prices of ceramic artworks in table 2 meets their pricing standards. It also provides a useful model for predicting the prices of works of other art forms.

关 键 词：模糊层次分析法 陶瓷艺术品 定价因素 价格指数 

分 类 号：J527[艺术—艺术设计]