基于主成分分析的橡胶种植适宜性评价——以海南省儋州市为例  

Suitability Evaluation of Rubber Planting Based on PCA

作　　者：苏文地[1] 张培松[1] 罗微[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国热带农业科学院橡胶研究所,海南儋州571737

出　　处：《热带农业科学》2014年第3期69-75,共7页Chinese Journal of Tropical Agriculture

基　　金：海南省重点科技计划项目(No.ZDXM20130045);天然橡胶产业体系岗位科学家(No.CARS-31-GW6)

摘　　要：选取土壤及气候资源,根据前人的研究成果及专家经验选择确定评价因子,运用模糊数学方法来量化评价因子,采用主成分分析方法对海南省儋州市的橡胶种植适宜性进行评价。结果表明:儋州市最适宜橡胶种植的面积为43 029.58 hm2,占农用地面积的14.99%;适宜面积为57 770.90 hm2,占20.12%,次适宜面积为40 934.9 hm2,占14.26%。该评价结果可以从宏观上实现儋州市的橡胶收益最大化以及为橡胶种植的区划提供决策参考。This paper selects the soil and climate resources, according to the previous research results and the expertise to determine the evaluation factor. Use the fuzzy mathematical method to quantify the evaluation factors, and then evaluated the planting suitability of rubber in Danzhou City by the method of principal component analysis. The results showed that the most suitable area for rubber planting is 43 029.58 ha, accounting for 14.99 % of the total agricultural land in Danzhou City; the suitable area for planting is 57 770.90 ha, accounting for 20.12 %; the less suitable area for planting is 40 934.9 ha, accounting for 14.26 %. The evaluation results not only bring the maximum benefit of the rubber at the macro, but also provide a reference for the zoning of the rubber plantations in Danzhou City.

关 键 词：橡胶树 适宜性 种植 主成分分析 

分 类 号：S794.1[农业科学—林木遗传育种]