信息化推动工业化城镇化农业现代化发展实证研究  

Empirical Study of the Promotion of Informatization to the Development of Industrialization,Urbanization and Agricultural Modernization

作　　者：张兰婷[1] 洪功翔[1] 

机构地区：[1]安徽工业大学经济学院,安徽马鞍山243002

出　　处：《安徽工业大学学报（社会科学版）》2013年第3期3-6,共4页Journal of Anhui University of Technology：Social Sciences

基　　金：安徽省社科规划项目:优化安徽经济发展环境研究(AHSK09-10D47);安徽省高等学校省级教学研究项目:经管类创新型人才培养模式:教学科研互动研究(2012jyxm184)

摘　　要：基于向量自回归模型对我国信息化与工业化、城镇化及农业现代化之间关系的实证分析发现,信息化分别与工业化、城镇化及农业现代化之间存在稳定的均衡关系;信息化与工业化、农业现代化存在长期稳定的正相关关系;短期内信息化对城镇化产生负向影响,从长期看信息化的发展对城镇化水平的带动作用非常显著。It is discovered in the empirical analysis, based on Vector Auto Regression Model, of the relationship between informatization and industrialization, urbanization and agricultural modernization （IUA for short） in China that there exist respectively the stable equilibrium relationship between informatization and IUA; there is the long term and stable positive correlation between informatization and IUA but urbanization;and in the short term informatization makes negative influence on the urbanization while in the long term the development of informatization obviously has the leading role in the promotion to that of urbanization.

关 键 词：信息化 工业化 城镇化 农业现代化 关系 

分 类 号：F124.1[经济管理—世界经济]