中东地缘政治格局变化与中阿经贸发展长远战略  

Changes in Middle East Geopolitics and Long-term Strategy of China-Arab Countries' Economic and Trade Cooperation

作　　者：王建[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国社会科学院西亚非洲研究所

出　　处：《西亚非洲》2014年第3期48-64,共17页West Asia and Africa

摘　　要：美国在中东实施战略收缩,导致中东地缘政治格局发生深刻变化:美国与中东传统盟国的关系出现裂痕,中东国家寻求外交多元化;俄罗斯和法国等大国获得在中东扩大影响的空间;教派矛盾尖锐,极端宗教势力和恐怖主义组织活动猖獗,中东政局动荡长期化;中东面临军备竞赛和核竞赛的危险。中东地缘政治格局变化对中阿经贸关系的发展将产生重大影响:一方面增加了中国在阿拉伯世界的战略回旋余地,为扩大与阿拉伯国家的经贸关系提供了新机遇;另一方面,也使中国在发展与阿拉伯国家经贸关系时面临更为激烈的竞争和政局动荡带来的各种风险。从长远来看,中国应在中东地缘政治格局变化中趋利避害,合理布局,确定战略支点国家;根据阿拉伯国家不同经济发展水平,以及中国的经济发展需要和相对优势,确定重点合作领域。In 2013, the Middle East geopolitics changed hugely in the wake of U. S. implementing strategic contraction in this region, and rift starts in relationship between U. S. and its allies. The Middle East countries try to seek diplomatic diversity. The powers, such as Russia and France, obtain the space to expand influence. Sectarian conflicts between Sunni and Shia are becoming more and more acute. Extremist religious forces and terrorism run rampart. Political upheaval in the Middle East will be long. Arms race and nuclear arms race will be the serious threat in the Middle East. Changes in geopolitics in the Middle East will have significant impact on economic cooperation between China and Arab countries. On the one hand, it will expand China＇ s strategic space in the Arab world, and give China an opportunity to expand economic and trade cooperation with Arab countries; on the other hand, China will face more intense competition and more severe risks in the region. China should develop long -term strategy in the Middle East, and make rational distribution in determining strategic anchor countries. It is very important for China to define key areas of cooperation according to different levels of economic development in Arab countries, as well as to China＇s economic needs and advantages.

关 键 词：地缘政治 中阿经贸合作 中东 美国 长远战略 

分 类 号：D822[政治法律—政治学] F752.7[政治法律—外交学]