2001—2010年中国人口与经济的空间集聚与均衡特征分析  

Analysis of Spatial Agglomeration and Equilibrium Characteristics for Population and Economic in China during 2001-2010

作　　者：蒋子龙[1,2,3] 樊杰[1,2] 陈东[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,中国北京100101 [2]中国科学院区域可持续发展分析与模拟重点实验室,中国北京100101 [3]中国科学院大学,中国北京100049

出　　处：《经济地理》2014年第5期9-13,82,共6页Economic Geography

基　　金：中国科学院重点部署项目(KZZD-EW-06-01);国家自然科学基金重点项目(40830741)

摘　　要：采用增量分析、不均衡指数等统计分析方法,从地市级尺度对2001—2010年我国人口与经济的空间集聚特征与均衡过程进行了讨论,研究表明:①我国人口和经济的空间变化过程存在较强的规律性,主要呈沿海、沿江等主要空间发展轴及中西部核心节点城市集聚分布态势;②该时期东部地区人口集聚态势明显,中、西部及东北部地区人口比重多数呈减少趋势,而中西部地区GDP比重在这一时期有所上升,恰恰与其人口比重增减趋势相反,从而导致东部与中西部地区人口和经济要素集聚的势能差缩小,使得我国区域人口和经济总体上向空间相均衡方向演进;③我国"东强西弱"的国土空间发展格局并没有发生根本性转变,东西区域差距在较长一段时间内仍占主导地位。This paper employs Increment Analysis and Imbalance Index to examine the spatial agglomeration and equilibrium characteristics of population and GDP in China at prefecture scales during 2001-2010. （1） There is strong regularity in spatial change process between China＇ s population and economy, mainly reflected by the trend of aggregated distribution in the coastal, riverside, other major spatial development axis and the core cities in central and western; （2）China＇ s population and economy move to the spatial equilibrium in general. The population agglomeration in the eastern region is obvious; the population proportion of the mid-west and northeast area showed a decreasing trend, while the proportion of GDP in the middle-western regions increased during this period, and this trend is just cross to population trend in the middle-western regions. These lead to the decrease of the potential difference within the agglomeration of population and economy elements; （3）The east-west regional gap is still the main development gap. The situation that the population and economic elements agglomerate to the eastern region highly did not change fundamentally and China＇ s spatial development pattem-＂strong in the East and weak in the West＂ has no fundamental change.

关 键 词：人口集聚 经济集聚 空间均衡 区域发展格局 中国 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济]