河南省的工业结构优化与优势产业选择——基于偏离份额动态模型  

Industrial Structure Optimization and Selection of Superiority Industry in Henan Based on Shift-Share Model

作　　者：李博[1] 李朝晖[1] 

机构地区：[1]湖北经济学院经济学系,武汉430205

出　　处：《河南科技大学学报（社会科学版）》2014年第3期78-83,共6页Journal of Henan University of Science & Technology(Social science)

基　　金：湖北省教育厅社科项目(Q20102205)

摘　　要：采用偏离份额动态模型可以将主要工业行业的增长率分解为区域增长份额、产业结构偏离份额和区位偏离份额。通过对测算结果的分析,将工业内部行业分为5类,以此为依据进行了优势产业选择。建议在制定产业发展规划和产业政策时,应重点扶持具有区域竞争优势,或结构效应明显(对其他产业有较强带动作用)的行业,减少向不具备区域竞争优势且结构效应较差的行业配置优质资源,或将这些行业向外地转移。The growth rate of the total output of major industrial sectors in Henan Province can be devided into regional growth share, industry structural shift-share and regional shift-share based on the shift-share model.Through the analysis of calculation results, the industrial sectors are grouped into five categories, which lays a basis to select superiority industries. It is suggested that the government should support the industries with regional competitive advantages or significant structural effects.

关 键 词：偏离份额动态模型 产业结构优化 产业选择 

分 类 号：F401[经济管理—产业经济]