核电厂数字化人-机界面监视转移路径预测方法及其应用  

Visual Monitoring Path Forecasting Method for Digital Human-Computer Interface in Nuclear Power Plant and Its Application

作　　者：胡鸿[1,2] 张力[2,3] 蒋建军[3] 易灿南[2] 戴立操[3] 陈青青[2] 

机构地区：[1]南华大学核科学与技术学院,湖南衡阳421001 [2]湖南工学院人因工程与安全管理研究所,湖南衡阳421001 [3]南华大学人因研究所,湖南衡阳421001

出　　处：《核动力工程》2014年第3期105-110,共6页Nuclear Power Engineering

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(71071051;71371070);岭东核电公司科研(KR70543);安全工程教育部第一类特色专业建设点(TS12328);湖南省战略性新兴产业产学研结合创新平台创新能力建设(2012GK4101)

摘　　要：核电厂操纵员在监视核电厂数字化人-机界面参数信息时,某些时刻难以判断下一个最可能的监视目标,从而导致监视延迟或转移失误的情况。为更好研监视路径预测问题,提出基于马尔可夫过程的监视过程预测路径规划方法,包括监视过程预测路径模型、监视过程预测路径规划算法、转移路径成功率算法。基于提出的方法,对核电厂蒸汽发生器传热管破裂事故操纵员监视转移行为进行分析,以数字化人-机界面作为t时刻监视任务的信息源节点,可以准确预测到下一个监视目标的转移路径,提高操纵员监视绩效并成功地降低监视失误风险。Sometimes, the operators can not judge next possible monitoring object which would lead to monitoring delay or transfer error in the monitoring digital human-computer interface parameter information process in nuclear power plant. Aiming at the situation, the forecasting path plan method including forecasting path model, forecasting path plan algorithm and the calculation method of transfer path success probability and which is based on Markov process was proposed. Then the monitoring transfer behavior of the operators when SGTR（Stream Generator Tube Rupture） occurred abruption accidents is analyzed based on the method proposed in this paper, taking the digital human-computer as the source node of monitoring task of t time, the transfer path of next monitoring object was obtained successfully to improve the efficiency of monitoring and to minimize the risk of monitoring error, which will also contribute to analyze the driving mechanism of operators＇ monitoring activities, to train simulated for monitoring behavior, and to optimize the digital man-machine interface.

关 键 词：核电厂 数字化人-机界面 监视转移 路径预测 马尔可夫过程 

分 类 号：F407.23[经济管理—产业经济]