中国对东盟OFDI的国别贸易效应实证分析  

A Study on the Country Differences Trade Effect of China's OFDI in ASEAN

作　　者：刘再起[1] 谢润德[1] 

机构地区：[1]武汉大学经济与管理学院

出　　处：《世界经济研究》2014年第6期80-86,89,共7页World Economy Studies

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目"后金融危机时代中国参与全球经济再平稳的战略与路径研究"(项目编号:11&ZD008)的资助

摘　　要：本文利用2003-2011年中国对东盟10国OFDI和进出口面板数据，分析中国对东盟OFDI贸易效应存在的国别差异。研究表明：中国对东盟各国OFDI均具有贸易创造效应，且存在明显的国别差异；除了老挝和缅甸，对其他国家OFDI的出口创造效应都大于进口创造效应，总体上对东盟OFDI的出口创造效应略大于进口创造效应；从国别差异看，对泰国、马来西亚和越南OFDI的贸易创造效应最大，其次是印度尼西亚和柬埔寨，对新加坡、菲律宾、缅甸、老挝和文莱OFDI的贸易创造效应最弱。中国应当根据东盟各国不同的资源禀赋和比较优势进行相关行业的直接投资。China's OFDI in ASEAN started relatively late,and is still in the primary stage.With the completion and the continuous development of CAFTA,the scale of China's OFDI in ASEAN will continue to expand,and its impact on trade will also gradually outstanding.In this paper,using the panel data from 2003 to 2011 of China's OFDI in ASEAN countries and export & import,it analyzes the national differences of the OFDI trade effect among ASEAN counties.And the research shows that China's OFDI in all ASEAN countries have trade creation effect( export creation effect and impot creation effect) and there are obvious national differences.In addition to Laos and Burma,export creation effects of other countries are greater than import creation effects.ASEAN's overall export creation effect is slightly greater than import creation effect.China's OFDI trade creation effects in Thailand,Malaysia and Vietnam are the greatest,and the next are in Indonesia and Cambodia,and the last are in others.So,based on resource endowment and comparative advantage of different countries,China should take OFDI in ASEAN according to corresponding industries.

关 键 词：中国 东盟 OFDI 贸易效应 

分 类 号：F752.7[经济管理—国际贸易] F224[经济管理—产业经济]