地铁运营安全风险评价研究——以沈阳地铁一号线为例  

Research on risk evaluation of operational safety of subway:a case of Shenyang Subway Line One

作　　者：秦毅[1,2] 王仁祥[1] 魏士凯 姜钧译[2] 

机构地区：[1]武汉理工大学经济学院,武汉430070 [2]沈阳工业大学管理学院,沈阳110870 [3]东北煤田地质局沈阳测试中心,沈阳110023

出　　处：《沈阳工业大学学报（社会科学版）》2014年第3期258-262,共5页Journal of Shenyang University of Technology(Social Sciences)

摘　　要：分析我国地铁运营安全风险研究现状,构建安全风险评价指标体系和评价模型,指出沈阳地铁运营安全状况及特征,并运用层次分析法和云模型对沈阳地铁一号线运营安全现状进行实证分析,确定其运营风险级别。从排除沈阳地铁安全隐患着手,提出相应的管理方案和防御措施,为今后我国其他地区的地铁运营风险评价提供进一步的理论依据。The status quo of researches is analyzed on risk of operational safety of subways in China. The indicator system and evaluation model of risk and safety are established, and the operational safety situation and its features of Shenyang Subway are pointed out. Empirical study is produced on the status quo of operational safety of Shenyang Subway Line One by applying analytic hierarchy process （ AHP） and cloud model to determine the level of its operational risk. From excluding the potential troubles of safety of Shenyang Subway, corresponding management alternativess and preventive measures are proposed, so as to provide further theoretical evidence for the risk evaluation of operational safety of subway in other regions of China in the future.

关 键 词：地铁运营 安全风险 运营风险 风险分析 层次分析法 云模型 沈阳地铁 

分 类 号：C939[经济管理—管理学]