基于系统动力学的智能电网系统发展研究  

The Study on Development of Smart Grid System Based on System Dynamics

作　　者：崔和瑞[1] 彭旭[1] 王书峰[2] 

机构地区：[1]华北电力大学经济管理系,河北保定071003 [2]国网保定市供电公司,河北保定071051

出　　处：《国网技术学院学报》2014年第2期12-18,共7页Journal of State Grid Technology College

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(70671039)

摘　　要：智能电网是一个复杂的大系统,涉及发、输、配、送四个环节。本文通过运用系统动力学的方法,采用定性和定量研究相结合的方式,深入剖析了智能电网系统的结构,以宏观的角度分析了智能电网及其子系统发展的因果反馈关系,提出在Vensim软件环境下智能电网系统发展中的状态变量、速率变量以及常量。最后,在所建立的智能电网系统动力学流图中,对其中的变量输入DYNAMO语言方程式,并针对流图中的资金量和专业人才量进行了重点分析和仿真。通过仿真分析得知,智能电网的发展应当注重专业人才的培养,专业人才是智能电网发展的源泉力量。与此同时,还应注意与智能电网发展相关的产业政策,在政策的引导下需求发展。Smart Grid is a large complex system,involving generation,transmission,distribution and delivery of four links. This paper analyzes the structure of the smart grid system in depth with a combination of qualitative and quantitative research approach. Then it explains state variables,rate variables and constants in the development of smart grid system under the Vensim software environment and analyzes subsystems causal feedback relationship in a macro point of view. Finally,this paper analyzes the simulation on the amount of funding and professionals in the smart grid system dynamics flow diagram after inputting DYNAMO language equations. The simulation analysis shows that the development of the smart grid should focus on training professionals. Profess ional talent is a source of strength in the smart grid development. At the same time,we should also pay attention to industrial policy related to the smart grid and seek break under the guidance of policy.

关 键 词：系统动力学 智能电网 反馈 对策 

分 类 号：TM76[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]