FDI溢出吸收与第三产业增加值比重门槛效应——中国省域面板数据经验分析  

FDI Spillovers Absorption and Threshold Effects of the Value-added Proportion of the Tertiary Industry——Empirical Analysis of Provincial Panel Data in China

作　　者：类骁[1] 韩伯棠[1] 徐德英[1] 

机构地区：[1]北京理工大学管理与经济学院,北京100081

出　　处：《软科学》2014年第6期60-64,共5页Soft Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(70973011)

摘　　要：运用我国1995～2010年省域面板数据，构建Hansen门槛回归模型，实证检验FDI溢出与第三产业增加值比重的门槛效应。结果表明，较高的第三产业增加值比重下FDI溢出效应显著为正；反之，FDI挤出效应明显；挤出效应随第三产业增加值比重的提高而减弱；东部地区门槛值最高，中西部地区对FDI吸收不够，FDI对全要素生产率呈显著负效应。Using provincial panel data from 1995 to 2000, the threshold model is constructed to analyze the relationship be-tween the value-added proportion of the tertiary industry and FDI spillovers. The empirical results show that the effect of FDIspillovers is positive to total factor productivity with high proportion; the crowd-out effect decreases rapidly with the increaseof the proportion ; the threshold value in the East is highest, and the FDI absorption is not sufficient in the centre and westwhere FDI has significant negative effects to the total factor productivity.

关 键 词：门槛回归模型 第三产业增加值比重 挤出效应 溢出效应 

分 类 号：F061.5[经济管理—政治经济学] F832