河北省城镇化与大气环境污染相关性研究  

Correlation Study on Urbanization and Pollution of the Atmospheric Environment in Herbei Province

作　　者：蒋春艳[1] 张振[2] 王晓奕 

机构地区：[1]石家庄铁道大学经济管理学院,河北石家庄050043 [2]河北经贸大学学生处,河北石家庄050061 [3]河北省发改委,河北石家庄050000

出　　处：《石家庄铁道大学学报（社会科学版）》2014年第2期1-5,共5页Journal of Shijiazhuang Tiedao University（Social Science Edition）

基　　金：河北省发改委项目<河北省大气污染防治问题与对策研究>;河北省教育厅青年项目(SQ141120);河北省高校科技研究重点项目(ZD2014070)

摘　　要：2000—2012年河北省城镇化进入快速发展阶段,在带动经济增长的同时,也造成了环境容量的过载,带来了严重的大气污染。利用计量软件Eviews6.0研究了城镇人口的增加与工业废气排放量之间存在单向的格兰杰因果关系,通过协整分析了两个变量之间存在长期和短期的均衡关系。提出在大气环境容量的约束下,河北省新型城镇化的发展要打造特色中小城镇和区域绿色主导产业等,保持适度的规模和速度,不能再盲目求快,造成大气环境的进一步恶化。From 2000 to 2012, the rapid development of urbanization in Herbei Province has not only stimulated economic growth, but also caused environmental capacity overload and serious atmospheric pollution. By using metrology software eviews 6.0, the unidirectional Granger causality relationship between urban population and industrial waste gas emission volume was researched, and the existence of the long-term and short-term equilibrium relationship of between two variables was analyzed by making co-integration analysis. The results show that the development of new type urbaniza- tion in Herbei Province should build medium and small-sized cities and towns with characters and regional green leading industry to maintain a moderate pace and scale in the constraint of atmospheric environment capacity to avoid the further deterioration of the atmospheric environment.

关 键 词：城镇化 大气环境污染 逆城市化 工业废气排放量 河北省 相关性研究 

分 类 号：F062.2[经济管理—政治经济学]