中国遭遇反倾销与对外反倾销贸易效应比较分析  

Comparative Analysis on Trade Effect of Chinese Passive and Active Anti-dumping

作　　者：齐俊妍[1] 孙倩[1] 

机构地区：[1]天津财经大学国际经济贸易系

出　　处：《财贸经济》2014年第7期95-106,81,共13页Finance & Trade Economics

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目"中国出口净技术含量的形成机制及提升路径研究"(批准号:11CGJ021)

摘　　要：本文引入Finger和Murray(1993)提出的反倾销强度指数(anti-dumping index,ADI),运用1995—2012年中国和世界的反倾销案件数及进出口贸易额,对中国遭遇反倾销和对外反倾销强度特点进行了对比分析,并进一步构建了多元线性回归模型,从理论与实证两方面说明了遭遇反倾销和对外反倾销给我国出口贸易总额带来的影响。本文发现我国遭遇反倾销和对外反倾销强度与出口贸易总额因果关系明显,遭遇反倾销强度与出口总额呈现正相关关系,这是由于遭遇反倾销强度在一定程度上能够促进我国产业升级,增加高附加值产品的出口。本文更进一步基于Lall(2000)技术含量的分类方法分析了遭遇反倾销和对外反倾销对我国不同技术含量出口品的差异性影响,并对我国应如何应用遭遇反倾销和对外反倾销手段提升出口贸易竞争力提出政策建议。Using the anti-dumping index （ADI） data of foreign anti-dumping against China and Chinese anti-dumping protection from 1995 to 2012, this paper conducts comparative analysis. Besides, this paper estimates the effect of anti-dumping on the Chinese total export by constructing a multivariate linear model. We find that anti-dumping cases against China can improve Chinese industrial upgrading and promote export of high value-added goods. What＇s more, this paper analyzes different effects of anti- dumping on different technical contents export according to the classification of Lall（2000）. Finally, we suggest that anti-dumping trade policy should emphasize on enhancing export competitiveness.

关 键 词：遭遇反倾销 对外反倾销 出口品技术含量 

分 类 号：F752.02[经济管理—国际贸易]