“莫迪时代”印度的可能性  

The Possibility of Modi's India

作　　者：曾省存[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国社科院

出　　处：《中国海关》2014年第6期80-80,13,共1页

摘　　要：莫迪赢得印度大选，印度迎来“莫迪时代”。这个不久后将超过中国成为全球第一人口大国的地方会撼动全球经济格局吗？这个幅员辽阔、拥有数亿计青年劳动力人口和大量投资机会的国家会分流中国发展所需资源、冲击中国经济发展吗？India is stepping into Narendra Modi's era.Will this country which may become the most populated nation change the structure of the global economy? Will this state which has ten millions of youthful labors and massive investment opportunities grab economic sources with China and shock the latter's growth? The answer is that it may change the world,but cannot influence China's development.India has contributed towards changing the global economic structure.If the country could keep sustainable and rapid growth,just like China,it will contribute more to the world.Modi's success in election has made the potential possibility more possible.But the country's bad economic situation in the short term may frustrate its development.Modi and his cabinet will face four challenges:the rapidly dropping economic growth and the high inflation,the high deficit,the conundrum of employment,and the possible aggravation of frequent account deficit.

关 键 词：印度 可能性 中国经济发展 全球经济格局 劳动力人口 人口大国 投资机会 幅员 

分 类 号：F120.4[经济管理—世界经济]