基于安全航线的海洋水文气象保障辅助决策仿真  

Auxiliary decision-making simulation based on meteorological and hydrologic information for naval navigation security

作　　者：孙成志[1,2] 丁德文[3,4] 刘大刚[5] 

机构地区：[1]大连海事大学环境工程学院,辽宁大连116026 [2]海军大连舰艇学院,辽宁大连116018 [3]大连海事大学,辽宁大连116026 [4]国家海洋局第一海洋研究所,山东青岛266061 [5]大连海事大学航海学院,辽宁大连116026

出　　处：《大连海事大学学报》2014年第2期47-50,共4页Journal of Dalian Maritime University

基　　金：国家公益性行业科研专项项目(GYHY201006034);天津市海洋局科技兴海项目(KJXH2012-25)

摘　　要：提出一种动态水文气象环境信息显示系统.使用气象、海洋预报服务部门提供的相关信息,在电脑上动态显示舰船24 h和48 h所能达到海区的各种水文气象要素信息.根据对所关心舰船在不同水文气象条件下航行安全性的统计,使用风险分析理论和技术,可对所关心舰船2天内可能到达目标海区航线的安全性进行客观、定量地仿真评价,可为指挥人员选择最为适当的舰船出航,提供科学决策的重要依据.A dynamic indication system based on meteorologi-cal and hydrologic information was presented .Using the infor-mation from weather and ocean forecasting organizations , the meteorological and hydrologic information in the sea area where the ship can reach in 24 h and 48 h was shown .Ac-cording to the navigation safety statistics of different ships un-der different conditions , safety assessment on the courses of target sea area within 2 days for concerned ships can be made based on the theory and technique of risk analysis .The actual simulation result shows that the proposed system can be used to make safety assessment for ships ’ courses objectively and＆amp;nbsp;quantitatively , which can provides important basis of scientific decision-making for commanders to choose the most suitable ship and course to perform the mission .

关 键 词：舰船 安全航线 水文气象环境信息 动态显示系统 安全评价 

分 类 号：U675.12[交通运输工程—船舶及航道工程]