中国省际城镇化综合水平及其空间分异  

The Comprehensive Evaluation of China's Urbanization and Spatial Difference in Provincial Level

作　　者：陈忠暖[1] 高权[1] 王帅[1] 

机构地区：[1]华南师范大学地理科学学院,中国广东广州510631

出　　处：《经济地理》2014年第6期54-59,共6页Economic Geography

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(41171141)

摘　　要：以2012年我国31个省份的统计数据为基础,运用因子分析法综合评价各省市的城镇化水平,并结合空间计量模型进一步分析我国省际综合城镇化水平的空间效应及其影响因素。结果表明:①综合城镇化水平超前和滞后的省域在东西部之间交错分布,并没有出现东部地区城镇化超前而西部地区城镇化滞后的空间分异格局;②省际尺度上综合城镇化水平存在明显的区域差异和空间依赖性;③空间计量结果表明,城镇居民可支配收入、人均GDP、每千人拥有医疗机构床位数以及人均社会固定资产投资额对省域综合城镇化水平的弹性系数显著为正。模型的系数值为负,表明省域之间综合城镇化水平存在"跷板效应"。因此,在稳步推进我国城镇化进程的前提下,政府应适当提高资本和劳动力在区域间的配置能力。Based on the essential meaning of urbanization, this study establishs a multi-dimensional index system to evaluate China＇ s urbanization in provincial level, and use spatial econometrics method to reveal the spatial difference among 31 provincial regions. We find that： （1） Excessive urbanization and lagged urbanization distribute across eastern and western regions of China; （2）There exists a significantly spatial difference and spatial, independence of China＇ s urbanization on provincial scale; （3）The elasticity coefficient of disposable income of urban households, per capita GDP, the number of beds in health care institutions per 1000 persons and per capita investment in fixed assets to urbanization in provincial level are positive and significant at 5% level. More importantly, the coefficient of SEM is minus which implies there exists a ＂rocker effect＂ between different provinces of different gradient, especially among the east and the west.

关 键 词：城镇化 因子分析 空间计量模型 综合测度 中国 

分 类 号：F29[经济管理—国民经济]