未来中长期我国居民生活用煤需求预测  

Prediction of Chinese resident coal demand in mid-long term in the future

作　　者：张峰玮[1] 曾琳[1] 

机构地区：[1]煤炭工业规划设计研究院有限公司,北京市西城区100120

出　　处：《中国煤炭》2014年第6期5-8,共4页China Coal

摘　　要：以大量详实的数据为基础,重点对我国居民生活用能结构尤其是耗煤特点进行了分析,对其发展变化过程及当前基本特征进行了研究,在此基础上引入居民生活用煤预测模型,分别对农村及城镇在未来中长期居民生活用煤需求进行了预测,并给出了相关预测结果。Based on a large number of detailed data, the paper focuses the analysis on the do- mestic energy consumption structure especially the coal consumption characteristics of Chinese residents, and gives a research on its development process and current basic features. On the ba- sis of that, the paper introduces a prediction model for resident coal use to scientifically predict the rural and urban residents coal demand in a mid-long term in the future, and lists the prediction results.

关 键 词：生活用煤 居民用煤量 能源结构 预测 

分 类 号：TD-9[矿业工程]