北京市生态足迹变化及其社会经济驱动因子分析  

Ecological footprint change of Beijing and its social and economic driving factors

作　　者：王立群[1] 李冰[1] 郭轲[1] 

机构地区：[1]北京林业大学经济管理学院

出　　处：《城市问题》2014年第7期2-8,共7页Urban Problems

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目(11YJA630127)

摘　　要：改革开放以来,北京市经济有了快速发展,但与此同时,出现了资源过度消耗、环境恶化等问题。运用生态足迹方法对北京市的可持续发展状况进行研究,结果表明:北京市1980-2009年的生态足迹较大,且始终存在生态赤字。运用PLS模型从社会经济方面分析发现:北京市的经济增长、产业结构、居民消费结构、常住人口等因素都对生态足迹有着显著影响。As the economy rapidly develops, problems including over consumption of resources and environmental pol- lution arise in Beijing. Based on the related data from 1980 to 2009, this essay studies the situation of sustainable development in Beijing by applying ecological footprint models. The analysis shows that in the past thirty years there existed high ecological footprints and deficits in Beijing. The study also shows that the variables including economic growth, industrial structure, resi- dent consumption structure and resident population have signifi- cant influece on ecological footprints change in Beijing by apply- ing PLS model.

关 键 词：生态足迹 PLS模型 可持续发展 北京市 

分 类 号：X321[环境科学与工程—环境工程]