复杂系统可靠性鉴定方法  

Method of Qualification for Complex System Reliability

作　　者：唐雪梅[1] 

机构地区：[1]国防科技大学自动控制系

出　　处：《航天控制》1994年第4期61-66,共6页Aerospace Control

摘　　要：为了确定系统可靠性的验前分布，本文采用蒙特卡罗方法，充公利用系统试验之前元件、整机、分系统的可靠性数据获取系统可靠性的验前分布。另外，本文所讨论的系统可以是非常复杂的系统，包括串联或并联系统、串并联系统及不同分布的模型组成的系统。This paper utilizes Bayes method to evaluate system reliability. In order to determine the prior distribution of system reliability, this paper considers Monte-Carlo method and fully utilizes the reliability data obtained from the elements, units, subsystems of the system prior to the test on the system. It is necessary to point out that the systems discussed in this paper may be very complex, including series system, parallel system, series-parallel system and system formed by models with different distribution characteristics.

关 键 词：可靠性评价 贝叶斯方法 蒙特卡罗法 

分 类 号：O213.2[理学—概率论与数理统计]