供水管道漏损预测模型研究  

Study on the Prediction Model for Water Supply Net Leakage

作　　者：张宏伟[1] 牛志广[1] 陈超[1] 洪霞[2] 

机构地区：[1]天津大学环境工程系,天津300072 [2]天津市自来水集团有限公司芥园水厂,天津300121

出　　处：《中国给水排水》2001年第6期7-9,共3页China Water & Wastewater

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目 !(5 98780 30 )

摘　　要：根据某市供水管网漏损数据的大量统计 ,应用多元线性回归分析理论 ,通过供水管道漏损原因相关分析 ,对供水管道投入使用后产生漏损的初始时间进行了科学预测 ,建立了供水管道漏损预测模型。该方法为改变供水行业被动式的漏损管理模式 ,对管道漏损做到早预防、早解决提供了一个新的思路。In accordance with a large amount of statistical data on a city's water supply net leakage, the prediction was made for the initial leakage time after the supply net came into use, and a prediction model was set up for the leakage by means of the multi-linear regress analysis and the analysis on the factors due to leakage. It will contribute to the change of passive management mode in water supply industry, so that the leakage may be prevented and controlled as early as possible.

关 键 词：给水管道 漏损 预测模型 

分 类 号：TU991.36[建筑科学—市政工程]