地震预测试验场的回顾与展望  

REVIEWING AND ENVISIONING EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION EXPERIMENT SITE

作　　者：吴忠良[1] 张东宁[1] 张国民[2] 

机构地区：[1]中国地震局地球物理研究所,北京100081 [2]中国地震局分析预报中心,北京100036

出　　处：《东北地震研究》2001年第2期1-7,共7页Seismological Research of Northeast China

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目 4972 5 410

摘　　要：地震预测试验场针对特定的地震危险区 ,通过密集的、多学科的强化观测 ,研究与短临地震预测有关的科学问题。作为一类“大科学”项目 ,地震预测试验场的经验和教训值得认真总结。本文回顾和评述了地震预测试验场的观测与研究 ,对地震预测试验场的概念进行了分析和讨论 ,指出新技术的应用赋予地震预测试验场以新的内涵 。Earthquake prediction experiment aims to attack the scientific problems of earthquake prediction by concentrating densely deployed multi disciplinary observations into a specified experiment site.As a project of 'big science',earthquake prediction experiment has provided lessons and experiments in many aspects,which need to be analyzed systematically.By reviewing the organization,observation and researches related to earthquake prediction experiment site from the 1960s to the 1990s,this essay discussed the concept and development of earthquake prediction experiment as well as their scientific and societal impacts.It is pointed out that the application of high technology will provide earthquake prediction experiment with new structures and new perspectives,which will in turn bring new opportunities to the research on earthquake prediction.

关 键 词：地震预测试验场 地震学 地震危险区 地震前兆 短临地震预报 

分 类 号：P315.75[天文地球—地震学]