计算机辅助事故树分析研究  

COMPUTER-AIDED ANALYSIS OF ACCIDENT TREES

作　　者：侯福均[1] 肖贵平[2] 李欣[2] 

机构地区：[1]北方交通大学机电学院,北京100044 [2]北方交通大学交通运输学院,北京100044

出　　处：《安全与环境学报》2001年第2期33-36,共4页Journal of Safety and Environment

摘　　要：计算机辅助事故树分析中 ,求最小割集和绘制事故树是非常重要的。实用中 ,由于事故树往往规模庞大且最小割集的数目难以预知 ,这就使传统的用不能动态扩充的数组实现的计算机算法在应用时受到很大限制。本文应用 VC++(MFC)中可动态扩充的数组类数据结构 ,实现求最小割集的 Fussell算法 ,并提出和实现“堆砖法”计算机辅助事故树绘图。The accident tree analysis is an important method for system safety engineering and management. It structures the relations between events in a system into a Boolean logic model that leads to accident causation. It is unusually versatile in that it allows dynamic considerations to be considered, sensitivity analysis performed, and the results of analysis quantified. It is well known that the quantitative calculations of accident tree are complex and time consuming. With the increase of the complexity of accident trees, computer-aided analysis of accident trees has become an essential part of the process of system safety analysis. In the cases of quantitative and qualitative calculations of accident tree, finding the minimal cut sets is very important. To date, many analytical programs of accident tree exist. In practice, a complex accident tree always has a large scale and an unpredictable number of minimal cut sets, which makes the traditional algorithms developed with static data structure little applicable. The present paper introduces the implementation of the algorithms of analysis of accident tree based on VC++(MFC)'s expandable Data Structure. The memory structure for the data of accident tree and the flow chart of Fussell algorithm are discussed (Table 1 and Fig.1). The Boolean logic structure of an accident tree is depicted graphically by the tree diagram (e.g. Fig.2). Automatically drawing of tree diagram with computer is another important thing in the process of computer-aided analysis of accident tree. The present paper presents a practical method for automatically drawing of accident trees with computer, which is named brick-stockpiling approach. The components of accident tree and the variable definition of the components by the brick-stockpiling method are discussed (Figs.3 and 4). Taking the advantage of this approach, automatically drawing of accident trees with computer becomes easy. Ideas and algorithms are also given, which will be helpful to those who dedicate to mapping other kind of trees a

关 键 词：事故树 最小割集 Fussell算法 计算机辅助事故树绘图 VC++(MFC) 安全分析 安全分析 

分 类 号：X928[环境科学与工程—安全科学] X913.4