东海区域大风中期客观预报系统  

THE MEDIUM-RANGE OBJECTIVE FORECAST SYSTEM FOR HIGH WINDS IN THE EAST CHINA SEA

作　　者：姚嘉玲 吴钟浚 

机构地区：[1]浙江省气象台 [2]浙江省气象研究所

出　　处：《海洋预报》1989年第2期10-15,共6页Marine Forecasts

摘　　要：本文利用欧洲中心中期数值预报产品,应用天气学分型推理预报,物理量分析诊断预报,相似预报和“MOS”方程预报四种方法,并将各种预报结果进行综合集成,做出东海区域大风的中期预报,业务应用表明,该系统对中期大风天气过程具有一定的预报能力。In this paper the composite medum-range forecast system for high winds in the East China sea has been presented. The system is composed of four forecast methods together with the medium-range numerical forecast product of ECMWF. The four methods are the reasoning forecast in terms of synoptic pattern classification, diagnostic forecast from parameter analysis, similarity forecast and MOS forecast. The pridiction in operational use shows that the composite system is capable of forecasting high winds in medium range.

关 键 词：大风 中期预报系统 客观预报 

分 类 号：P457.5[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]