采石工人尘肺发病趋势的预测  

The flaring up trend of pneumoconiosis among stone - mining workers.

作　　者：刘建安 陶东红 

机构地区：[1]湖北省武汉市劳动卫生职业病防治院,430071

出　　处：《职业与健康》2001年第12期6-8,共3页Occupation and Health

摘　　要：[目的]预测采石工人尘肺发病趋势的方法。[方法]以武汉采石厂工人尘肺发病情况调查材料为基础,运用寿命表和直线相关回归统计法研究其接尘量和尘肺发病关系,推算出预期发病年限和发病剂量。[结果]采石工人尘肺发病的预期发病年限为28.64a,患病率37.69％;预期发病剂量为1188.44mg/a,患病率66.90％。[结论]利用寿命法探讨接触粉尘量和尘肺发病剂量—反应关系是较准确、可靠、科学的方法。[Objective] To estimate the flaring up trend of pneumoconiosis among stone - mining workers. [Methods] On the basis of the investigation results of the flaring up situation of pneumoconiosis among workers in Wu Han Stone - mining factory, life span model and straight line - related regress statistics method were applied to study the relations between dust receive amount and the flaring up of pneumoconiosis. Therefore the flaring up years and dose were estimated. [Results] The pre - estimated flaring up,years of the workers is 28.64a, flaring up rate is 37.69% . The expected flaring up dose is 1188.44 mg/a, flaring up rate is 66.90% . [Conclusions] Using life span model to study the relations between dust receive amount and the flaring up of pneumoconiosis is an accurate, reliable and scientific method.

关 键 词：尘肺 接尘量 累积患病率 预期发病年限 预期发病剂量 流行病学 

分 类 号：R135.2[医药卫生—劳动卫生]