我国国民经济增长因素的实证分析  

Empirical Research on Factors Influencing the Economic Growth of China

作　　者：陈昌兵[1] 徐海燕[1] 

机构地区：[1]西安交通大学经济与金融学院,陕西西安710061

出　　处：《陕西经贸学院学报》2001年第6期5-8,共4页Journal of Shaanxi Economics and Trade Institute

摘　　要：产权制度变迁、市场化程度、分配格局和对外开放四个方面可以综合成表示制度因素的一个指标。用含有制度因素的经济增长模型测出制度变迁、产业结构变化、劳动力、资本、人力资本、R&D资本对我国经济增长的贡献率分别是 8.35 %、7.0 4%、11.6 4%、5 2 .2 0 %、2 .40 %、18.36 %。我国应继续改革开放 ,调整产业结构 ,在提高生产率的情况下 ,增加就业人数 ,扩大有效需求 ,提高资本投入 。The paper integrates the four factors influencing institutional reforms into a compound index to express the institutional factors. They are institutional reforms in property rights, marketization degrees, distribution structures and opening levels. Then institutional-factor-based economic growth model of China are accordingly established, through which the economic growth contribution ratio of institutional reforms, output structure changes, labors, capitals, intellectuals and R&Ds. Correspondingly the measured ratios are 8.35%,7.04%,11.64%,52.20%,2.40% and 18.36%. In the end, the author proposes that during the opening and industrial structures reforming, not only should productivity be enhanced greatly, but also employment ratio be raised and efficient demands be broaden. In addition, investment input in capital, science and national education also need appropriately increase.

关 键 词：中国 国民经济 经济增长因素 回归估计 贡献率 经济计量分析 经济结构 

分 类 号：F124[经济管理—世界经济]