多目标多层次流域需水预测系统开发与应用  

Development and application of the multi-object and multilevel water demand prediction system

作　　者：王大正[1] 赵建世 蒋慕川[1] 翁文斌[1] 

机构地区：[1]清华大学水利水电工程系,北京100084

出　　处：《水科学进展》2002年第1期49-54,共6页Advances in Water Science

摘　　要：利用交互式递阶层次分解法构建流域需水预测系统 ,并在系统中纳入宏观经济水资源模型建立社会、经济、生态和水资源之间的相互作用关系 ,实现了需水预测的多目标、多层次的结构体系。系统已在 2 0 0 0年进行的海河流域水资源规划工作中应用。The paper employs the method of interactive step-up analytic hierarchy process to build drainage basin water demand prediction system, in which the multi-object model is introduced to establish the interactive relationship among the factors including society, economy, environment and water resources. And in this way the multi-object and multilevel structure of water demand prediction system is accomplished. The system is applied to the water resource planning in Haihe River Basin of year 2000.

关 键 词：需水预测 多目标分析 层次分解 优化配置 

分 类 号：TV213.4[水利工程—水文学及水资源]