影响华东地区热带气旋年频数与热带对流场的关系  

RELATIONSHIP OF ANNUAL FREQUENCY OF TROPICAL CYCLONE AFFECTING EAST CHINA AND TROPICAL CONVECTION ACTIVITY

作　　者：周霞琼[1] 葛旭阳[2] 朱永禔[1] 

机构地区：[1]上海台风研究所,上海200030 [2]上海气候中心,上海200030

出　　处：《气象科学》2002年第1期9-15,共7页Journal of the Meteorological Sciences

基　　金：国家科委重中之重"九.五"短期气候预测 96 -90 8-0 5 -0 6项目资助

摘　　要：利用由美国 NOAA系列卫星观测的 OL R资料研究了影响华东地区热带气旋年频数 (记为 ATC)与热带对流场的关系 ,结果表明两者存在密切的联系 :(1)当华东地区热带气旋年频数 ATC为异常偏多 (少 )时 ,ITCZ位置累积距平为正 (负 )值 ,即 ITCZ位置异常偏北 (南 ) ;(2 )利用 OL R设计了 Walker综合指数WI,该指数的强弱可以反映 ATC的异常情况 ,即当 ATC为异常偏多 (少 )时 ,walker环流圈异常强 (弱 ) ;(3) OL R距平累积量场能较好的表征 ATC异常年份所对应的低纬度及中高纬地区大气环流的配置 。Based on 1979-1998 monthly OLR data,the relationship of annual frequency of tropical cyclone affection East China(denoted as ATC afterward)and tropical convection activity is studied.The results show that ATC bears a close relationship to the ITCZ activity,and intensity and extension of Walker circulation as well.We also designed an index(denoted as TOLR) by term of accumulated anomaly of OLR,and the TOLR induces directly the possible mechanism of ATC and successive summer tropical circulation and mid-high latitude circulation in Northern Hemisphere.The TOLR may be a strong sign to predict ATC affecting East China.

关 键 词：热带气旋 年频数 热带对流活动 华东地区 ATC 大气环流 

分 类 号：P444[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]