政府教育投入对宏观产业经济和居民生活福利动态影响分析  

The Effects of Government Education Inputs on Macro-economy and Resident Welfare

作　　者：陈平路[1] 毛家兵 侯俊会 Chert Pinglu;Mao Jiabing and Hou Junhui(School of Management,Huazhong University of Science and Technology,Wuhan 430074)

机构地区：[1]华中科技大学管理学院,武汉430074

出　　处：《管理评论》2018年第11期14-25,共12页Management Review

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(71173083)

摘　　要：本文建立动态CGE模型,对不同劳动力供给量变化进行模拟,探究其对宏观经济和居民福利的影响情况。编制2007年社会核算矩阵,将不同政府教育投入政策转换成不同劳动力供给量的改变,对低和中以及高这三级劳动力的供给量改变加以实证模拟分析,其重点就是分析对宏观经济以及居民福利等一些影响,并给出如下结论:在当前的技术条件之下,要大力投入中等教育,提升中级劳动力的供给量对提升居民的收入与福利水平是有利的。增加政府对高等教育的支出,会降低部门产出,更会抑制投资和消费行为,进而降低居民福利。而另一方面,降低政府对高等教育的支出,对扩大内需很有益处。In this paper,we use dynamic CGE model to simulate the effects of different changes in the labor supply on macro-economy and resident welfare.We draw up the-2007 Social Accounting Matrix,turn different government education investment policies into different amounts of labor supply and simulate different variations of the junior,medium and senior labor supply in order to analyze the effects on'macroeconomic and resident welfare.Our conclusions are as follows:under the current technological conditions,investing heavily in secondary education and enhancing the supply of medium labors will promote the level of residents'income and welfare;increased gov- ernment spending in higher education will reduce sector output,inhibit the investment and consumption and reduce resident welfare ;and in addition,redueinz soending in higher education will drive the exoansion of domestic demand.

关 键 词：政府教育投入 宏观经济 居民福利 动态一般均衡 

分 类 号：F124[经济管理—世界经济]