基于有序Logistic回归的城市总体规划建设用地指标与城市居民主观幸福感间关系研究  

Analysis of the Relationship Between Urban Development Land-use Planning Indicators and Subject Well-being of Inhabitant Based on Ordinal Logistic Regression

作　　者：靳文博[1] 翟国方[1] 何仲禹[1] 陈伟[2] jin Wenbo;Zhai Guofang;He Zhongyu;Chen Wei

机构地区：[1]南京大学建筑与城市规划学院 [2]南京大学地理与海洋科学学院

出　　处：《国际城市规划》2018年第6期110-117,共8页Urban Planning International

摘　　要：城市建成空间环境是影响居民幸福的重要因素之一。本文从城乡规划学视角出发,采用CGSS2010问卷结果、统计年鉴数据和六普人口数据为样本,基于有序Logistic回归模型,分析探寻与居民主观幸福感存在显著相关关系的城市总体规划建设用地指标,尝试将提升居民幸福感这一抽象的规划目标具体分解到便于管控的量化型规划指标层面。分析结果表明,人均城市建设用地面积、人均居住用地面积、人均城市道路面积、人均地区生产总值、人均绿地面积等5个因素与居民幸福感存在显著的相关性。其中,人均居住用地面积、人均道路用地面积和人均地区生产总值与居民幸福感呈显著正相关,人均城市建设用地面积和人均绿地面积与居民主观幸福感呈显著负相关。因此建议在城市总体规划编制过程确定规划人均单项建设用地指标取值范围时,应充分考虑对居民幸福感可能造成的影响,从规划编制工作的角度对主动干预居民幸福感作出有益的探索尝试。The built environment is one of the important factors influencing the inhabitants'happiness.This paper,based on the CGSS2010investigation results, statistical yearbook data and the sixth population census data,using Ordinal Logistic Regression,tries to discover what land use index in the comprehensive planning have significant impacts on the inhabitants'subjective well-being.The results suggest that there are significant positive correlations between residential land per capita, road and street land per capita,GDP per capita and the inhabitants'subjective well- being,and negative correlations between urban development land per capita and green space per capita and the inhabitants'subjective well-being.Therefore,in order to improve the active intervention of inhabitants'subjective well-being from the perspective of urban planning,the impacts on the the inhabitants'subjective well- being should be fully considered when determining the land use index per capita in the comprehensive planning.

关 键 词：城市规划 主观幸福感 建设用地指标 有序Logistic回归 

分 类 号：TU984[建筑科学—城市规划与设计]