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作 者:QIN Qi CHENG Shengkui WU Liang LIU Xiaojie LIU Aimin 秦奇;成升魁;吴良;刘晓洁;刘爱民(中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,北京100101;中国科学院大学,北京100049)
机构地区:[1]Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100101,China [2]University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100049,China
出 处:《Journal of Resources and Ecology》2018年第6期585-591,共7页资源与生态学报(英文版)
基 金:The Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences(XDA19030200);The Key Deployment Project of Chinese Academy of Sciences(KJZD-EW-G20)
摘 要:Further utilization of global agricultural resources and the expansion of potential international cooperation space are necessary measures to promote a new level of China's national food security and optimize the structure of domestic food consumption.This study measured the global potential cultivated land area and national grain self-sufficiency.Based on the two-above measures,the authors made a classification of China's foreign agricultural cooperation countries and depicted the spatial pattern of cooperation based on the grain trades of those countries with China.The:grain exporters include Australia,North America,South America,Eastern Europe and Central Asia;and the target countries for "going abroad"of Chinese grain enterprises are mainly located in Sub-Saharan Africa and northern Latin America.This study proposes that China's policy of cooperation on grain should be shifted to non-traditional partners alongside the "Belt and Road Initiative"region.Specifically,China could expand grain imports from Russia,Kazakhstan,Ukraine and other East European and Central Asian countries,and the direction for China's agricultural enterprises "going abroad"should shift to Sub-Sahara Africa.进一步利用国际农产品市场、世界农业资源和拓展对外农业合作潜在空间,是保障新时期中国粮食安全和优化国内粮食消费结构的有效路径。本研究基于分国别潜在耕地和粮食自给率的估算,并结合上述两个指标对中国海外粮食合作国家进行分类,从而初步刻画其空间格局。结果显示,中国的粮食进口目标空间主要位于澳大利亚、北美、南美、东欧和中亚;中国粮食企业"走出去"的目标空间重点应在撒哈拉以南非洲和拉丁美洲的北部区域。研究提出,在维持好与美国、加拿大、巴西、阿根廷和澳大利亚等传统粮食贸易关系的同时,中国可以面向"一带一路"沿线国家拓展粮食合作空间:可加大从俄罗斯、哈萨克斯坦和乌克兰等东欧中亚国家的粮食进口量,粮食企业"走出去"的重点方向可以是撒哈拉以南非洲。
关 键 词:potential cultivated land grain self-sufficiency foreign agricultural cooperation China
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