子女婚姻、健康是否影响其对农村老人的代际支持  

Do the Children’s Marriage and Health Change Their Financial Support to the Elderly

作　　者：王爱君[1] 张义 庹琳 Wang Aijun;Zhang Yi;Tuo Lin

机构地区：[1]中南财经政法大学经济学院

出　　处：《财经科学》2018年第12期91-103,共13页Finance & Economics

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目“中国特色发展经济学理论体系研究”(15JJD790023);国家社科基金一般项目“经济转型对农村妇女减贫脱贫的影响研究”(12BJY090)

摘　　要：本文基于构建的生育政策工具变量,运用ivprobit回归分析了子女婚姻、健康等特征对农村老人获得净货币支持和净实物支持可能性的影响,结果表明,子女的婚姻水平、健康水平和教育水平一样,对农村老人获得净代际支持的可能性影响具有门限效应,即只有当多子女家庭中子女成婚率达到一定界值,农村老人获得净支持概率才会显著上升;只有子女处于中等健康水平,农村老人获得的净实物支持和总净经济支持概率才会显著上升;只有子女处于高等教育水平,农村老人获得各项净支持概率才会显著上升。这表明,在低端的经济收入水平状态下,婚姻能够为子女及其父母提供抵制贫穷的防御作用;农村子女健康需要进一步通过非正式的多元关系的塑造发挥代际支持作用。In this paper,based on the construction of policy tools variables,using ivprobit regression analysis the influence of such characteristics as children’s marriage and health on the possibility of financial support to the elderly,the results showed that the marriage level,health level and education level of children had a threshold effect on the possibility of intergenerational support to the elderly:that is,only when the marriage rate of children in the multi-child family reaches a certain threshold value(such as 100% marriage rate),the probability of net intergenerational support to rural elderly will increase significantly.Only when the children are in moderate health level,the net material support and total net economic support probability to the rural elderly will rise significantly.Only when the children are at the high level of education,the probability of rural old people getting the net financial support will increase significantly.It also suggests that,at the low-income level,marriage provides a defense against poverty for children and their parents.The health of rural children needs to further play the role on teh intergenerational support through multiple(non-kinship)relationships.

关 键 词：农村老人 子女特征 代际支持 ivprobit回归 

分 类 号：F063.4[经济管理—政治经济学]