中国区域绿色发展水平影响因素的空间计量  

Spatial Econometrics for Influencing Factors of Regional Green Development of China

作　　者：郝淑双 朱喜安[2] HAO Shu-shuang;ZHU Xi-an(School of Statistics,Henan University of Economics and Law,Zhengzhou 450046,China;School of Statistics and Mathematics,Zhongnan University of Economics and Law,Wuhan 430073,China)

机构地区：[1]河南财经政法大学统计学院,河南郑州450046 [2]中南财经政法大学统计与数学学院,湖北武汉430073

出　　处：《经济经纬》2019年第1期10-17,共8页Economic Survey

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(13BTJ011)

摘　　要：绿色发展理念在我国已经提升至新的战略高度,探讨绿色发展的影响因素并分析其区域差异性,可以为政府有针对性地制定相关政策提供参考依据。从绿色发展的内涵出发构建了区域绿色发展评价指标体系,测算2006—2014年中国省际绿色发展水平,并构建空间杜宾模型分析技术进步、结构变迁、环境规制等因素对绿色发展的影响。结果表明:技术创新对绿色发展有一定的促进作用且具有空间溢出效应;特别地,技术创新对东部地区的促进作用最大; FDI仅对东部地区的绿色发展有显著促进作用且具有空间溢出效应;中部地区工业比重提高不仅对本地区绿色发展有显著制约作用,且对临近地区绿色发展产生不利影响;较为严格的环境规制仅对东部绿色发展有一定促进作用。The concept of green development has been upgraded to a new strategic level in China. The discussion of influencing factors of green development and analysis of regional differences will provide reference for the government to formulate relevant policies. Based on the connotation of green development,this paper constructs the evaluation index system of regional green development and calculates the provincial green development of China from 2006 to 2014. It also constructs a spatial Durbin model to discuss the impact of technological innovation,structural change and environmental regulation on the regional green development. The results show that technological innovation can promote the green development with a spatial spillover effect. In particular,technological innovation plays a more significant role in the eastern region. FDI only contributes significantly and shows spillover effect to the green development in the eastern region. The increase of the industrial proportion in the central region not only has a significant restraining effect on the green development in that region,but also seriously affects the green development in other regions. The stricter environmental regulation only promotes the green development in the eastern region.

关 键 词：绿色发展 技术创新 外商直接投资 空间杜宾模型 

分 类 号：F129.9[经济管理—世界经济]